Abstract
This article evaluates the impact of digital financial technologies on the financial performance of commercial banks from both theoretical-methodological and practical perspectives. Scientific literature on technological development, fintech, and banking efficiency is systematized. Based on data for 2021–2025 from the Central Bank of the Republic of Uzbekistan, the International Monetary Fund, and other official sources, a comparative analysis is conducted of digital activity and indicators of banking system profitability, cost efficiency, and asset quality. The volume of retail transactions conducted through mobile banking applications increased from UZS 58 trillion to UZS 645.6 trillion (11.1-fold), while the number of remote banking service users grew from 30.0 million at the beginning of 2023 to 48.4 million by September 2024. At the same time, between 2022 and 2024, banking system expenses grew faster than revenues (88.2% and 75.8%, respectively), and ROA declined from 2.6% to 1.4% before recovering to 2.2% in 2025. The findings indicate that the effects of digitalization emerge with a time lag, following a J-curve pattern. A digital intensity index, panel regression, and a DEA model are proposed for bank-level assessment, and recommendations are developed.
References
1. O’zbekiston Respublikasining 2019-yil 5-noyabrdagi O’RQ-580-sonli “Banklar va bank faoliyati to’g’risida”gi Qonuni. - Lex.uz.
2. O’zbekiston Respublikasi Prezidentining 2020-yil 12-maydagi PF-5992-sonli “2020-2025-yillarga mo’ljallangan O’zbekiston Respublikasining bank tizimini isloh qilish strategiyasi to’g’risida”gi Farmoni. - Lex.uz: https://lex.uz/docs/-4811025
3. O’zbekiston Respublikasi Prezidentining 2020-yil 5-oktabrdagi PF-6079-sonli “Raqamli O’zbekiston - 2030” strategiyasini tasdiqlash va uni samarali amalga oshirish chora-tadbirlari to’g’risida”gi Farmoni. - Lex.uz.
4. O’zbekiston Respublikasi Markaziy banki. Financial Stability Report for H1 2025. - https://cbu.uz/upload/medialibrary/fea/zc1m2epsxmcmn8u19j8q8n4so1d7eqsz/Financial-Stability-Report-for-H1-2025.pdf
5. Invexi.org. Central Bank of Uzbekistan: 2025 Outcomes - 7.7% Economic Growth with Inflation Easing to 7.3% (Markaziy bankning 2025-yil statistik byulleteni asosida). - https://invexi.org/press/central-bank-of-uzbekistan-2025-outcomes-7-7-economic-growth-with-inflation-easing-to-7-3/
6. O’zbekiston Respublikasi Markaziy banki. Number of customers applied remote banking systems as of October 1, 2025. - https://cbu.uz/en/statistics/paysistem/2941883/
7. International Monetary Fund (2025). Republic of Uzbekistan: Financial Sector Assessment Program - Financial System Stability Assessment. IMF Country Report No. 25/145. - https://www.imf.org/-/media/files/publications/cr/2025/english/1uzbea2025003-print-pdf.pdf
8. Khuchkarov A. How Uzbekistan Can Turn Digital Finance Into Savings and Financial Security. - Asian Development Blog, 08.09.2026. - https://blogs.adb.org/blog/how-uzbekistan-can-turn-digital-finance-savings-and-financial-security
9. UzDaily.uz. State-Owned Banks Maintain Dominance in Uzbekistan’s Financial Sector (Markaziy bank ma’lumotlari, 2025-yil 1-oktyabr holatiga). - https://www.uzdaily.uz/en/state-owned-banks-maintain-dominance-in-uzbekistans-financial-sector/
10. Daryo.uz. Uzbekistan sees 4.7-fold growth in remote banking users over five years, 06.11.2024. - https://daryo.uz/en/2024/11/06/uzbekistan-sees-4-7-fold-growth-in-remote-banking-users-over-five-years-with-23-1202227/
11. Spot.uz. Contactless pay (Markaziy bankning to’lov tizimlari sharhi asosida), 13.03.2023. - https://www.spot.uz/oz/2023/03/13/contactless-pay/
12. Yuz.uz. Muomaladagi naqd pul ulushi yana kamaydi (Markaziy bankning 2023-yil IV chorak pul-kredit siyosati sharhi asosida). - https://yuz.uz/uz/news/muomaladagi-naqd-pul-ulushi-yana-kamaydi
13. Anhor.uz. Cho’ntakdagi bank: raqamli tranzaksiyalar hajmi 646 trillion so’mga yetdi. - https://anhor.uz/uzl/news/chontakdagi-bank/
14. Ensuring banking system security amid the digitalization of commercial banks: evidence from Uzbekistan and international practice (Markaziy bankning 2025-yil yillik hisoboti ma’lumotlari asosida). - Zenodo, 2026. - https://zenodo.org/records/22642103
15. TechCrunch. Uzbekistan mobile bank TBC raises $38.2M to expand its financial products, 2024. - https://techcrunch.com/?p=2807069
16. O’zbekiston Respublikasi Milliy statistika qo’mitasi. Socio-economic situation of the Republic of Uzbekistan, January-December 2025 (press release, 22.01.2026). - https://stat.uz/img/news/4_-talil-2025-j_-yanvar-dekabr-angl-_p47537.pdf
17. Begimqulova S.N. O’zbekistonda tijorat banklarida raqamli xizmatlarning joriy etilishi va rivojlanish tendensiyalari // Moliya va bank ishi, 2026, 3-son, 86-90-b. - https://journal.bfa.uz/index.php/bfaj/article/download/642/448/1722
18. Toshmurodov F.U. O’zbekiston tijorat banklarida masofaviy bank xizmatlarini tashkil etish va amalga oshirish mexanizmini takomillashtirish // Xalqaro moliya va hisob, 2025, 6-son. - https://interfinance.tsue.uz/?p=4970
19. Charnes A., Cooper W.W., Rhodes E. (1978). Measuring the Efficiency of Decision Making Units. European Journal of Operational Research, 2(6), 429-444.
20. Arellano M., Bond S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277-297.
21. Brynjolfsson E. (1993). The Productivity Paradox of Information Technology. Communications of the ACM, 36(12), 66-77.
22. Berger A.N. (2003). The Economic Effects of Technological Progress: Evidence from the Banking Industry. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 35(2), 141-176.
23. Claessens S., Frost J., Turner G., Zhu F. (2018). Fintech Credit Markets Around the World: Size, Drivers and Policy Issues. BIS Quarterly Review, September, 29-49.
24. Vives X. (2019). Digital Disruption in Banking. Annual Review of Financial Economics, 11, 243-272.
25. Berg T., Burg V., Gombović A., Puri M. (2020). On the Rise of FinTechs: Credit Scoring Using Digital Footprints. The Review of Financial Studies, 33(7), 2845-2897.
26. Cheng M., Qu Y. (2020). Does Bank FinTech Reduce Credit Risk? Evidence from China. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 63, 101398.
27. Thakor A.V. (2020). Fintech and Banking: What Do We Know? Journal of Financial Intermediation, 41, 100833.
28. Boot A., Hoffmann P., Laeven L., Ratnovski L. (2021). Fintech: What’s Old, What’s New? Journal of Financial Stability, 53, 100836.